FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Koln Prediction: Mainz likely to win this game

On Sunday 26th April 2024 at 18:30 (GMT+3) at MEWA ARENA, Mainz 05 will take on Köln in a pivotal game that could decide their fate in the upcoming Bundesliga season. Köln hopes to begin its relegation battle. Köln now sits in 17th place with 22 points, five points behind Mainz 05, the first team outside the drop zone, with four games remaining. Der FSV is rated fifteenth with 27 points.

Mainz 05 and Freiburg tied 1-1 in their most recent Bundesliga match at Europa-Park Stadion, extending their winning run to five games (Wins 3 Draws 2 Losses 0). Köln was defeated 2-0 by Darmstadt 98 at RheinEnergieSTADION in their most recent Bundesliga match.

Mainz 05 has won fifteen of its home Bundesliga games this season, bringing their total points to 19 (W5 D4 L6) out of a possible 45. Der FSV has gone six games without a loss at home (Wins 4, Draws 2, Losses 0) after defeating Union Berlin on February 7. Köln will try to make up for a poor run of away results with its seven ties, seven losses, and one win in league away games this season. The previous eight road games for Der Effzeh have resulted in losses (Wins 0 Draws 5 Losses 3). Their most recent victory came in December 2023 at Darmstadt 98.

After six league games, Mainz 05 has a record of three wins, two draws, and one loss. Köln, on the other hand, has only won one, drawn two, and lost three of their last six games.

With 5 wins, 12 ties, and 13 loses so far this season, Mainz 05's Bundesliga record is Very Poor overall. Mainz 05 is currently ranked 16th out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table, having won 17% of their games. Mainz 05's home record is a terrible five wins, four ties, and six losses. Their record of 7 losses, 8 ties, and 0 wins makes them appear to have very poor away form as well.

In the Bundesliga this year, Mainz 05 has scored thirty-one goals.

This season, Köln has a very poor record overall in the Bundesliga with 4 victories, 10 draws, and 16 losses. Köln is currently ranked 17th out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table, having won 13% of their matches. Köln is awful at home, having three wins, three draws, and nine losses. They have a poor road record as well, with just one win, seven ties, and seven losses.

Köln has scored 23 goals this season in the Bundesliga.

Mainz 05's home form has been more reliable; their attacking production (average xG of 1.54) has significantly outpaced their defensive fragility (average xGA of 1.08). Sadly, Köln struggles when playing away, giving up goals with an xGA of 1.71 and an xG of only 1.13.

Another intriguing statistic about corners is that pre-match analysis shows these two teams will average 10.87 corners per game when they clash. Betting on the Over 9.5 corners at enticing odds of 1.67 may be worthwhile because historical performance favors high-corner matches.

Even though Mainz 05 is the overwhelming favorite, the final score of the match may be mild. With both sides' average total goals scored coming in at 2.47, there may be good reason to go with the Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.42.