SC Freiburg vs VFL Wolfsburg Prediction: Freiburg like to take all 3 points

Freiburg will strive to add three more points to their Bundesliga total on Saturday 27th April at 16:30 (GMT+3) at Europa-Park Stadion against Wolfsburg, who are perilously close to the relegation zone. It's possible to earn a spot in the Conference League Qualifiers the next year.

Freiburg is in sixth position with 40 points after scoring 42 goals and conceding 53. With four games remaining, Der Sport-Club has to win five points to move up to sixth place and qualify for the Conference League Qualifiers. Freiburg's home winless record at home against Mainz 05 was extended to six games with their most recent Bundesliga draw, 1-1.

Wolfsburg moved up to 13th place with 31 points after defeating Bochum 1-0 at home in their most recent Bundesliga match. Die Wölfe are just four points outside of the relegation zone with four games remaining. Freiburg won 1-0 at Volkswagen Arena in December in their most recent Bundesliga matchup. 

Freiburg's record this season in fifteen Bundesliga games at Europa-Park Stadion is five wins, six draws, and four losses. In away league games this season, Wolfsburg's record is three wins, three draws, and nine losses. In their last six league games, Freiburg has won three, drawn one, and lost two. In comparison, Wolfsburg's past six games have seen them win two and lose four.

With 11 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses thus far this season in the Bundesliga, Freiburg has had a strong overall record. Freiburg is currently positioned seventh out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table, having won 37% of its games. Freiburg has a dismal home record, having won five games, drawn six, and lost four. They have a respectable road record with six victories, one tie, and eight defeats.

Freiburg has scored 42 goals in the Bundesliga so far this season.

With 8 wins, 7 ties, and 15 losses in the Bundesliga thus far this season, Wolfsburg's record is appalling. Wolfsburg is currently ranked 13th out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table with a match victory rate of 27%. Wolfsburg's home record is quite poor, consisting of five wins, four draws, and six losses. Their away record is also considered unimpressive, with 3 wins, 3 ties, and 9 losses.

In the Bundesliga this year, Wolfsburg has scored 35 goals.

Freiburg's home-field advantage extends to both offense and defense, as evidenced by their 1.35 average xG for versus 1.43 xG against. They score more goals and allow less goals. This benefit is beneficial to Freiburg's future. Nevertheless, it is indisputable that their overall advantage when playing at home comes to a reasonable +11.

However, Wolfsburg only wins 20% of their away games and loses 60% of them, so their away record is not very encouraging. This emphasizes their challenges, as does their average xG of 1.29 when traveling.

Hence, we expect a win for the home team.