Wales vs Italy Prediction: Wales face bottom spot pressure

After last weekend's surprising results that shook up the Championship, the final round of the 2024 Six Nations begins with the battle to avoid the wooden spoon in Cardiff, where Wales will host Italy on Saturday. Italy is on the brink of escaping the Six Nations booby prize after eight years of finishing at the bottom, while Wales faces the possibility of receiving the unwanted award for the first time in two decades.

It has been a forgettable tournament for Wales, who are heading towards five consecutive defeats and the wooden spoon. Narrow losses to Scotland (27-26) and England (16-14) could have seen Wales enter this match with two wins, but a lack of killer instinct cost them dearly. Against Ireland (31-7) and France (45-24), Wales were outclassed by superior opponents. To avoid finishing at the bottom, Wales must defeat Italy with a bonus point while preventing them from earning a losing or try-scoring bonus point. George North's final appearance for Wales adds emotional significance to the match, but I anticipate a victory for Wales without complete domination over an improving Italian side.

Italy heads into their final Six Nations match aiming for their second win and looking to extend their unbeaten streak to three in what has been a memorable tournament for the team. Apart from a 36-0 loss to Ireland in week two, Italy could have entered this match with three wins out of four. They came close to defeating England and France but were let down by small errors. Italy rightfully secured their first win of 2024 against Scotland, and they see a wounded Wales as a team they can overcome. However, despite Italy's improved performance, I believe their chance to move up the ladder will elude them in this match.

While neither team is contending for the title, this match could be the highlight of the weekend. Wales has shown glimpses of promise in the competition, but Italy will put up a strong fight. Home advantage should see Wales secure the victory, but it may not be by a large enough margin to prevent them from finishing at the bottom of the table.