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Alexander Zverev vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction: Alexander is good, but don't underestimate Jarry

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Germany
Finished
Chile
Tennis, ATP Rome, Final
19 May 2024, 18:00
Stadio Centrale, Rome, Italy

Odds 1,79
Bet Type 3 Way Total Over 22 Games
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Alexander Zverev and Nicolas Jarry are the two players to bring the ATP tournament to a close. Both players have made it to the Final showdown game, set to take place at the Stadio Centrale. Both players won 5 rounds before getting into this stage and they will both be competing for the prestigious title.

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Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev is current world number 5 tennis player and once attained his highest rank of number 2 on the 13th June 2022. The German superstar has won a total of 21 career titles since turning pro in 2013. And he's made it to the final of the ATP Rome and he hopes to get his first title win this year and the 22nd of his career.

Alexander's first game of the tournament was against Luciano Darderi and he won in straight sets (7:6,6:2). Then he played against Nuno Burges in the next round and won again in straight sets (6:2,7:5) and after that, against Taylor Fritz and he also won in straight sets (6:4,6:3). Finally, his last game was against Alejandro Tabilo, and Alexander won in 3 sets this time (6:1,6:7,2:6). Now he faces Nicolas Jarry in the final game of the tournament.

Alexander Zverev has the following stats on clay surface in 2024: on the serve, he has 1st serve points won (72%), 2nd serve points won (57%), Break Points saved (64%), service game won (87%), Total Service Points won (68%). 

And on the return his stats are: 1st Serve Return won (29%), 2nd Serve Return Points won (53%), Breakpoints converted (27%), Return games won (20%), Return Points won (39%), Total Points won (52%).

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Nicolas Jarry

Chilean tennis superstar Nicolas Jarry has made it to the final of the tournament against all odds. He is currently the number 24th tennis player in the world and his highest ever ranking was 18th, back in January this year. Nicolas Jarry is yet to win a title this year and he has a total of 3 career titles to his name. 

Nicolas Jarry’s first game in the tournament was against Arnaldi Matteo, and he won in straight sets (2:6,6:7). Then he faced Stefano Napolitano and won in 3 sets (2:6,6;4,4:6) and then Alexandre Muller after that, and he won in straight sets also (7:5,6:3). Up next was Stefano Tsitsipas and he won in 3 sets (6:3,5:7,4:6) and finally in his last game he defeated Tommy Paul in 3 sets (6:3,6:7,6:3). Now he's made it to the final game to face Alexander Zverev.

Nicolas Jarry has the following stats on clay this year: on the serve, he has 1st serve points won (71%), 2nd serve points won (55%), Break Points saved (63%), service game won (82%), Total Service Points won (65%). 

And on the return his stats are: 1st Serve Return won (28%), 2nd Serve Return Points won (46%), Breakpoints converted (31%), Return games won (16%), Return Points won (34%), Total Points won (49%).

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Head to Head

Nicolas Jarry and Alexander Zverev have faced each other 6 times in the past. Zverev won 4 times and Jarry won 2 times. 

Of the 6 meetings, 4 of them were on the red clay surface and the h2h is a tie (2:2) in those 4 games.

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Analysis and Predictions

Both players have fought hard to make it to the final of the tournament and both players have truly deserved their place. Both players seem to be tied on the red clay surface, which makes the outcome of this game a bit difficult to predict. Nicolas Jarry has proved to be strong in long games against tough opponents, that's going to come in handy against a tough opponent such as Zverev.

Match Facts:-

Both players have won their last 5 games in a row.

  • 3 Way Total Over 22 Games at 1.79 Odds
  • Nicolas Jarry (+1.5) Sets Handicap at 1.76 Odds
  • Total Sets 3 at 2.25 Odds
Odds 1,79
Bet Type 3 Way Total Over 22 Games
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Odds 1,76
Bet Type Nicolas Jarry (+1.5) Sets Handicap
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Odds 2,25
Bet Type Total Sets 3
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