Andrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic Prediction: Andrey can't win a set against Novak

Andrey Rublev and Novak Djokovic will meet in the Wimbledon quarter-finals. The tennis players have played each other four times, 3:1 in favor of Novak, who is listed as a notable favorite in the pairing. It should be noted that Novak has won all his victories over Andrey on hard courts, while Rublev's only victory came on Belgrade clay court.

Rublev has some advantage over Novak; Andrey finished his match against Bublik on the 9th of July. However, the match against Bublik was a protracted 5-set affair. The first two games went to the Russian, and Bublik won the third and fourth games on tie-breaks, but in the deciding fifth set, Rublev still defeated his opponent, to whom he had recently lost the final of the tournament in Hull. During the game, Andrey made 21 aces with two double faults, winning 81% of points on his first serve and 65% on his second. Before beating Bublik, Rublev knocked Purcell, Karatsev, and Goffin out of Major.

We made a mistake with Novak in the last round; we thought that the Serb would be able to beat the Pole Hurkacz in three games, but Hubert still managed to take the third set, and the bet did not go in. Overall, the match between the Pole and the Serb lasted three hours and 10 minutes, 7:6, 7:6, 5:7, and 6:4 in favor of the Balkan. Djokovic had 18 service aces with three double faults and won 89% of points on his first serve and 61% on his second serve. Before knocking out Hurkacz, Djokovic was stronger than Cachín, Thompson, and Wawrinka, not losing a set in those three meetings. In general, we note that Novak is gaining from match to match, and Rublev will find it extremely difficult to make it to the semi-finals of Wimbledon.

Rublev has yet to win a set against Djokovic on a hard court, and this trend may spill over to the grass. Rublev knows Djokovic well, having taken just seven sets in three sets in the quarter-finals of the Australian Open in 2023. The same result is unlikely to be repeated today, Rublev has a chance to hold his serve better on grass, but we wonder if Andrey can take at least a game from the world number two. We bet on 3-0 in favor of Djokovic and a confident victory for the favorite.

• Novak Djokovic to win 3:0 for 1.73;
• W2 + TU (32.5) for 1.76;
• Handicap 2 (-7.5) for 2.20.