Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction: A three set match definitely

Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova are up next for the quarter final round in the WTA Cincinnati. Both players won their matches in the round of 16 to enter the quarter final round, Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elina Svitolina while Liudmila Samsonova defeated Elina Avanesyan.

Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila have played against each other three times in the past and Liudmila leads 2:1.

Aryna Sabalenka (WTA #3)

Aryna Sabalenka progressed into the quarter finals of the WTA Cincinnati as expected. She remains one of the favorites to go all the way in the tournament. Aryna will play against Liudmila Samsonova in the quarter final round, and this will be her 4th meeting against Liudmila. Aryna currently trails Liudmila 2:1 on the h2h, and she lost the most recent meeting last year.

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elina Svitolina in the round of 16, in straight sets by a 7-5,6-2 score. Her stats in the match was:

SERVE: - first serve 61%, first serve points 74%, second serve 86%, second serve points 64%, break points saved 80%

RETURN: - first serve return points 36%, second serve return points 63%, break points converted 4.

Liudmila Samsonova (WTA #17)

Liudmila Samsonova continues her brilliant form in the WTA Cincinnati as she advances into the knockout rounds. She is set to face Aryna Sabalenka in the quarter finals, and she aims for another win. According to the h2h, Liudmila Samsonova had beaten Aryna twice in their three meetings.

Liudmila Samosonova beat Elina Svitolina in three sets in the previous round, and the scoreline was 4-6,6-0,6-3. Her stats in the match was:

SERVE: - first serve 56%, first serve points 66%, second serve 95%, second serve points 56%, break points saved 50%

RETURN: - first serve return points 48%, second serve return points 42%, break points converted 5.

Expert Betting Tips

Sabalenka has been in fine form this year, compiling a 36-11 win-loss record in 2024. She is also quite reliable on hard courts, where this season she has taken 20 of 26 matches. Big-game experience, a strong game to her name, and the head-to-head give her the edge coming into this match. This is further spiced by the head-to-head, which Samsonova leads 2-1 after winning two of their last three matches. She serves well and is strong at the baseline, where she will be able to tease out an inconsistent Sabalenka. While Sabalenka is favored, the odds on Samsonova present some value, especially if she can stay at this level and push this into a deciding set. The safer bet would be on Sabalenka to win the match, but looking at Samsonova to win at least a set may be a worthwhile risk.

• Over 20 Games at 1.6 Odds
• Liudmila Samsonova (+1.5) Sets Handicap at 1.88 Odds
• Total 3 Sets at 2.50 Odds